Archive for January, 2012

Inflation and Debasement, Cause and Effect

A quick look at this 1928 advertisement – when the cost of one stamp was one penny, the labor for a vehicle tune-up was one dollar, and labor charge to overhaul an engine and transmission was about $25 – only goes to prove the case for the dollar debasement that Austrian School economists have been making for decades.  Currency debasement is simply a consequence of monetary inflation.  The Universal Law of Cause and Effect states that every Effect has a specific and predictable Cause, and that every Cause or Action has a specific and predictable Effect.   As such, the Expansion of money supply is the Cause that has a specific, predictable, and proven Effect known as Currency Debasement.

So, what is Inflation after all?  In simple Austrian School terms, inflation is the constant increase in the money supply in circulation which leads to a constant decrease in purchasing power.  Such event (cause) can and it does, in fact exist before its effects are seen.  Make no mistake, inflation and price increases are not the same thing, one is cause and the other is effect.  The increase in the money supply occurs first, it represents the Cause.  The price increase occurs later, it represents the Effect.

The conventional wisdom may be that the price increase should be less relevant to the overall well-being of society because wages also increase thus a balance between the two is achieved. But Murray Rothbard and other known Austrian School intellectuals were quick to point out that it is those first in line to receive the newly created money who are the winners, because they get to spend this money before everyone else. In other words, those who are first getting their hands on it get to spend it before the increase in prices takes effect.  By the time the rest of the people receive it – 99% of the population – the prices of goods and services have already gone up.

Money inflation (expansion) always precedes price inflation (increase). Price increase always precedes wage increase and the balance between them does not adjust immediately.  History teaches us that timing could be months or years, depending on the level of inflation and other factors that are of political nature.  A factory worker or a retail sales clerk are never first in line to receive the newly printed money.  A businessman or an engineer are still part of the 99% receiving the newly created money after price increases take effect.  So who are the first in line then?  Wall Street traders and CEOs, politicians, top banking and big corporations officials, to name a few.  And let’s not forget the government itself that gets this money first and spends it on its very own expansion (new agencies, new laws, etc.), on infrastructure, social welfare programs, and wars.

The effect of the inequality in distribution of the newly created money thus indeed allows the rich to get richer and the poor to get poorer.  Most recently the topic of “Wealth Inequality” has become hot not only on the politicians’ agenda but also on the Federal Reserve Chairman’s agenda.  Mr. Bernanke sympathizes with the OWS movement and all those dissatisfied with the current state of our economy. He claims that income disparity between the rich and the poor has been widening in the past thirty years and that “the Fed is doing everything it can to create more jobs and to narrow the gap between the wealthy and the poor.”

It is rather ironic that the same people who claim to help are in fact the ones that hurt us the most.  While most people believe it is congress and/or the president that control a nation’s money supply, in real life it is the Central Bank that does.  In the USA congress has given such authority to the Federal Reserve – a non U.S. government agency – back in 1913.  Indeed, the top officials of the private corporation, the Fed, have the authority to create and contract the supply of US dollars as they deem needed.  But creating money does not create jobs nor it creates prosperity, as most people are inclined to think.  It creates larger disparity between the rich and the rest of the population.  The new jobs created through the government’s new infrastructure programs take capital and resources away from other areas of the economy where such capital and resources could be used more efficiently.

Now that we know that the Central Bank’s money policy – primarily evidenced by money expansion – does not, in aggregate, create employment and does not narrow the gap between the wealthy and the poor let’s revisit what its effects are.  It helps create economic distortions in form of boom/bust cycles such as the most recent real estate bubble – artificial prosperity during the boom and bankruptcy after the bust.  But while the average Joe and Jill and the average small business go bankrupt there is a small selective corporate breed exempt from such economic laws. We have seen such discriminating event most recently in 2008 – even though it’s not a new phenomenon and it’s been practiced for many decades – when the new bailout money went to prop up existing Wall Street failed businesses.  Keeping alive failing institutions (Fannie/Freddie, AIG, BOA, etc.) keeps unemployment at high levels, allows companies and people to work without productivity, and keeps the economy from healing.  Economic healing is a necessary “evil” similar to a man going through a healing process after being sick.  When the Fed expands the money supply, thus creating inflation, it creates inequality by funneling money to Wall Street and government friends. In the end society does not benefit from such monetary policy, a policy that Ron Paul has been consistent in his efforts to change but without much help from his fellow congressmen.

While we are kept busy with irrelevant news, we are in effect being distracted from figuring out what really is going on with the matters that should be important to us.  Monetary expansion, government expansion, government’s debt and its inability to function on a tight budget, unnecessary bailouts, and foreign wars are being replaced with news of the latest movie stars’ drama or the most recent national threat to our liberties from foreign lands.  It is, after all, much more entertaining to read about the intricacies of Angelina Jolie’s marriage to Brad Pitt than to understand the “boring” events at the Fed. In the meantime we’re assured the little man’s voice is heard and action is being taken to solve his problem.  So far, it’s Smoke and Mirrors and the forgotten man is again…still forgotten.  If you want to do something about it but feel that you are too small to make a difference you may consider joining the Ron Paul revolution.

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The Bubble is in Currencies

GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant James Turk today tells King World News that the bubble of the moment is in national currencies, that gold already has seen its lows for the year, and that gold mining shares are as low relative to the gold price as they were during the Lehman-induced market plunge three years ago.  To protect themselves from the coming collapse, investors need to own physical gold and silver as well as other tangible assets that make sense, like farmland, mines, oil related assets, etc..  These are the things people will need regardless of what happens in financial markets.  So in his view, investors should continue to stay away from financial assets and the promises in which they rest.  An excerpt from the interview is posted at the King World News blog here:  James Turk Interview

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The Biggest Bailout Ever

Last December the European Central Bank announced its new long-term refinancing operation (LTRO) that would, supposedly, prevent Southern European governments from defaulting on their debt.  LTRO will constitute back-door quantitative easing, as big banks borrow from the ECB at negligible interest rates, buy the bonds of insolvent governments that the ECB is prohibited from buying, collect a handsome spread, and keep coming back to repeat the maneuver while the euro-zone figures out how to monetize those bonds permanently.

The gold carry trade of the 1980s and ’90s, apparently invented by Robert Rubin while he was at Goldman Sachs, before he became U.S. treasury secretary, was the same sort of mechanism to support government bonds and enrich financial institutions — borrow gold from central banks at negligible rates, sell it, use the proceeds to buy government bonds, and collect a big spread risk-free as long as central banks kept dishoarding enough gold to prevent the price from rising and as long as they were ready to write off borrowed gold in cash settlement of leases.

That the gold carry trade devastated gold – and commodity – producing developing countries was no deterrent;  indeed, this devastation, the suppression of commodity prices, was another objective.

Thus Western central banking becomes an ever-more totalitarian and parasitic system, which is why GATA long has been opposing and trying to expose it.

An enlightening essay on the topic is headlined “How Gold, Silver, and Platinum Will Respond to ECB’s Money Printing” and it’s posted at Seeking Alpha here:

How Gold, Silver, and Platinum Will Respond to ECB’s Money Printing

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